forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 76, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+26.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 63.2% | 40,571 | >99% | |
| republican | 36.8% | 23,624 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 76, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 76
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 62.8% | D+29.8 | 66,647 | |
| governor | hinojosa 59.7% | D+22.4 | 66,647 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 63.6% | D+27.3 | 64,212 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 63.3% | D+26.6 | 64,212 | |
| attorney general | johnson 62.1% | D+24.2 | 64,212 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 62.0% | D+24.0 | 64,212 | |
| land commissioner | flores 62.2% | D+24.4 | 64,211 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 61.9% | D+23.9 | 64,211 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026