forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 77, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+50.7
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 75.3% | 35,132 | >99% | |
| republican | 24.7% | 11,501 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 77, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 77
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 70.4% | D+46.4 | 45,779 | |
| governor | hinojosa 68.2% | D+40.4 | 45,779 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 71.6% | D+43.3 | 43,498 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 70.1% | D+40.3 | 43,498 | |
| attorney general | johnson 70.1% | D+40.2 | 43,498 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 69.2% | D+38.3 | 43,498 | |
| land commissioner | flores 71.1% | D+42.3 | 43,499 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 70.7% | D+41.4 | 43,499 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026