forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 96, 2026
likely R · republican 85% to win · R+6.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 46.8% | 37,602 | 15% | |
| republican | 53.2% | 42,776 | 85% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 96, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 96
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 51.6% | D+5.8 | 82,262 | |
| governor | abbott 50.0% | R+1.9 | 82,261 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 50.1% | D+0.2 | 80,379 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 50.1% | D+0.2 | 80,378 | |
| attorney general | middleton 50.4% | R+0.8 | 80,379 | |
| comptroller | huffines 52.1% | R+4.2 | 80,379 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 52.0% | R+4.0 | 80,378 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 52.2% | R+4.3 | 80,379 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026