forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 97, 2026
likely R · republican 83% to win · R+6.1
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 46.9% | 39,481 | 17% | |
| republican | 53.1% | 44,627 | 83% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 97, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 97
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 52.2% | D+7.1 | 86,409 | |
| governor | abbott 49.5% | R+0.9 | 86,410 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 50.1% | D+0.1 | 84,404 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 50.2% | D+0.4 | 84,404 | |
| attorney general | middleton 50.4% | R+0.8 | 84,404 | |
| comptroller | huffines 52.2% | R+4.3 | 84,404 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 52.3% | R+4.6 | 84,404 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 52.3% | R+4.7 | 84,403 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026