forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 15, 2026
not up in 2026
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 15, on the lines in force for 2026. this seat is not up in 2026; a democrat holds it. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 15
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 69.3% | D+41.5 | 313,578 | |
| governor | hinojosa 66.5% | D+35.0 | 313,579 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 68.7% | D+37.4 | 305,866 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 68.4% | D+36.9 | 305,866 | |
| attorney general | johnson 67.9% | D+35.8 | 305,867 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 66.8% | D+33.7 | 305,866 | |
| land commissioner | flores 67.2% | D+34.3 | 305,867 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 67.0% | D+34.0 | 305,867 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026