forecasts · by race · state senate

state senate district 16, 2026

not up in 2026

the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 16, on the lines in force for 2026. this seat is not up in 2026; a democrat holds it. open the forecast map.

the statewide races in SD 16

raceforecastleadvotes
U.S. senatortalarico 67.1%D+37.1247,000
governorhinojosa 64.1%D+30.1247,000
railroad commissionerrosenthal 66.3%D+32.6240,910
lieutenant governorgoodwin 66.1%D+32.2240,909
attorney generaljohnson 65.5%D+31.1240,910
comptrollereckhardt 64.2%D+28.4240,910
land commissionerflores 64.5%D+29.1240,912
agriculture commissionertucker 64.4%D+28.7240,910
  • the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
  • votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
  • a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
  • data · theoelections projection, 2026

SD 15 · all of the state senate · SD 17