forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 18, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+22.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 39.0% | 151,191 | <1% | |
| republican | 61.0% | 236,305 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 18, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 18
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 54.8% | R+12.5 | 389,932 | |
| governor | abbott 58.6% | R+19.2 | 389,931 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 58.7% | R+17.4 | 380,245 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 59.0% | R+18.0 | 380,244 | |
| attorney general | middleton 59.5% | R+19.1 | 380,242 | |
| comptroller | huffines 60.5% | R+21.0 | 380,245 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 60.1% | R+20.3 | 380,244 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 60.3% | R+20.7 | 380,244 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026