forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 19, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+19.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 59.5% | 184,316 | >99% | |
| republican | 40.5% | 125,486 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 19, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 19
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 59.5% | D+22.1 | 305,691 | |
| governor | hinojosa 56.1% | D+14.3 | 305,689 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 58.1% | D+16.2 | 297,562 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 57.0% | D+14.0 | 297,562 | |
| attorney general | johnson 56.8% | D+13.6 | 297,563 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 55.5% | D+11.1 | 297,562 | |
| land commissioner | flores 57.0% | D+14.1 | 297,563 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 56.7% | D+13.3 | 297,562 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026