forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 2, 2026
safe R · republican 99% to win · R+14.9
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 42.6% | 160,156 | 1% | |
| republican | 57.4% | 216,082 | 99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 2, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 2
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 50.7% | R+3.7 | 378,984 | |
| governor | abbott 54.6% | R+10.9 | 378,983 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 54.6% | R+9.3 | 371,272 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 54.7% | R+9.4 | 371,272 | |
| attorney general | middleton 55.3% | R+10.5 | 371,271 | |
| comptroller | huffines 56.6% | R+13.2 | 371,271 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 56.5% | R+12.9 | 371,272 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 56.6% | R+13.2 | 371,272 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026