forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 22, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+20.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 40.0% | 149,124 | <1% | |
| republican | 60.0% | 223,831 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 22, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 22
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 55.4% | R+13.4 | 376,365 | |
| governor | abbott 59.1% | R+20.0 | 376,363 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 59.6% | R+19.2 | 368,198 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 59.6% | R+19.2 | 368,198 | |
| attorney general | middleton 60.1% | R+20.2 | 368,197 | |
| comptroller | huffines 61.4% | R+22.8 | 368,198 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 61.4% | R+22.7 | 368,196 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 61.5% | R+22.9 | 368,198 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026