forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 31, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+52.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 23.8% | 67,711 | <1% | |
| republican | 76.2% | 216,706 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 31, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 31
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 73.3% | R+49.1 | 284,472 | |
| governor | abbott 76.7% | R+55.0 | 284,471 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 77.7% | R+55.4 | 278,470 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 78.0% | R+56.1 | 278,471 | |
| attorney general | middleton 78.3% | R+56.6 | 278,471 | |
| comptroller | huffines 79.2% | R+58.5 | 278,469 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 78.7% | R+57.5 | 278,470 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 78.9% | R+57.8 | 278,469 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026