forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 32, 2026
safe R · republican 91% to win · R+8.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 45.7% | 136,853 | 9% | |
| republican | 54.3% | 162,531 | 91% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 32
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 49.5% | R+1.4 | 303,160 | |
| governor | abbott 53.4% | R+8.5 | 303,159 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 53.5% | R+6.9 | 296,799 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 53.4% | R+6.9 | 296,799 | |
| attorney general | middleton 54.1% | R+8.1 | 296,799 | |
| comptroller | huffines 55.3% | R+10.7 | 296,799 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 55.4% | R+10.8 | 296,799 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 55.5% | R+11.0 | 296,800 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026