forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 33, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+45.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 72.8% | 139,491 | >99% | |
| republican | 27.2% | 52,202 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 33rd Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 33
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 73.8% | D+50.5 | 193,019 | |
| governor | hinojosa 71.3% | D+44.6 | 193,020 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 73.7% | D+47.3 | 188,061 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 73.3% | D+46.6 | 188,061 | |
| attorney general | johnson 72.8% | D+45.6 | 188,062 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 71.8% | D+43.6 | 188,061 | |
| land commissioner | flores 72.3% | D+44.5 | 188,063 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 72.1% | D+44.2 | 188,062 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026