forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 52, 2026
tossup · democrat 51% to win · D+0.2
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 50.1% | 53,054 | 51% | |
| republican | 49.9% | 52,810 | 49% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 52, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 52
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 53.5% | D+10.1 | 110,170 | |
| governor | hinojosa 49.9% | D+2.0 | 110,170 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 51.4% | D+2.8 | 107,205 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 51.5% | D+3.1 | 107,205 | |
| attorney general | johnson 50.8% | D+1.6 | 107,205 | |
| comptroller | huffines 50.8% | R+1.5 | 107,206 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 50.9% | R+1.9 | 107,205 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 50.9% | R+1.9 | 107,205 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026